Production growth in Brazil and the United States, thanks to lower feed costs, is expected to offset declines in the European Union and China.
In particular, pork production in the EU is forecast to fall by 1%. This is due to changing consumer preferences, the spread of animal diseases and tighter regulatory requirements.
In China, the reduction in pig slaughter is due to a decline in the sow population due to low prices, further contraction of the industry and increased animal productivity — an increase in the number of piglets per sow reduces the need for large numbers of pigs.
Global trade: growth in Brazil, decline in the EU, Canada and the US
Global pork trade is expected to decline slightly in 2025 compared to 2024. Major exporters, including the EU and Canada, will reduce shipments due to lower supply and demand in key markets, especially in Asia, where economic instability is growing.
The US may also lose some of its pork exports due to market uncertainty. At the same time, Brazil has every chance of strengthening its position in the global market, as the country is actively taking advantage of low production costs and trade instability to expand its presence in new markets.
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